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Wednesday, August 12, 2026

Sunnyvale 2026 Measure G

Hi There, all you eager young voters!

Thanks for coming to learn more about Prop G!

Summary:  There are 2 major problems with Proposition "G" in how it allows new contracts to be awarded.

1st problem is that instead of contracts going to the lowest bid from a qualified contractor, it would allow "other factors" to be considered.  "Other factors" might be the bidder is a union shop, or a DEI bidder, but it might also be did the bidder make big campaign contributions or provide Rolex watches (details on That below).  Simply put, vote NO ON G if you want the lowest qualified bidder to get city business.  If the lowest qualified bidder doesn't get the contract, then the city (i.e., You) is paying too much for city services and someone is making extra money (AKA your tax dollars) that they couldn't get on merit alone.

2nd problem is that Prop G allows "Design-Build" to replace "Design-Bid-Build" in city contracting.   What does that mean?  "Design-Bid-Build" is the traditional way of making a contract.  A design team is contracted to design the project.  Once that is done, the completed design is put up for bid and the lowest qualified bid builds the project.

With "Design-Build", the project is put to one contractor who does both the design and the construction of the design for the price agreed to before the design was completed.  There are so many problems with this so we'll just list a few.  The design team usually acts on the city's behalf to make sure that the design is fully and reliably done.  If the designers and builders are one and the same, there is no incentive for the designer to ensure the builder is doing quality work, and a perverse incentive to suggest changes in the design to inflate costs.  We give several examples below.  And No, oversight committees don't help - as we shall see!

- We start with why we think “G” is a bad idea.

- Then we give examples, government audits, and criminal cases showing where “design-build” and other procurement processes that would be allowed by “G” allow for corruption.


1.  Allow A City Councilmember To Decide Who Wins Big City Projects?!

Currently, Sunnyvale requires new projects to go to the lowest bidder - period - end of story.  No council member or group of council members can influence that decision.  As the Sunnyvale City Attorney writes “This competitive bidding process is based on the bid price alone and does not permit the City to consider … other factors”.

“G” would change that!  Prop G would allow “other factors” to decide the awarding of contracts.  This is soooo... simple - if the contract isn’t going to the lowest bidder, then it’s costing taxpayers more than it has to.   Prop G is going to make city services more expensive than they need to be.

If "G" passes then it’s only a matter of when the corruption sets in - and you won’t read about it - it will show up quietly in poor maintenance for parks, greater fees for garbage service, water rates, higher property taxes - all because new city contracts are going to the best-connected bidder, not the most cost-effective. 

Sunnyvale Parks in the future?

If the city council and staff can decide on what “other factors” can be considered, they can be influenced by a bidder to decide on a factor favoring them.  This isn’t a hypothetical issue - it is the source of a lot of corruption which we will discuss later.  IF IT CAN HAPPEN - IT WILL HAPPEN!  

Corruption isn't something that only happens in 3rd world countries or decaying urban centers.  According to the Harvard University Center for Ethics, California is in the worst tier of corruption ("Very Common") overall with a score of 19 (higher is worse), with only 4 states worse (!!) and not by much (19.5 - 22.5).  For comparison - Oregon = 8, Massachusetts = 6, New Jersey = 20.5, Illinois = 21 - see map below.  California is tied for corruption with Mississippi, Georgia, and Pennsylvania!


Map from:
 https://www.illinoispolicy.org/reports/corruption-costs-illinois-taxpayers-at-least-550m-per-year

Corruption is very real in the majority of cities at one level or another.  A UN study of 134 cities around the world found over half the people in them had experienced corrupt practices at one level or another as seen in the graphic below - nearly 60% had to give bribes to get a service, nearly 30% almost daily or monthly.  84% cited corrupt local elected politicians, 82% cited local government officials - in both cases about a third saw this either "almost daily", or several times a month.  You may not see it but there are California officials who take bribes and sell their discretionary votes or approvals as we see below.


Graphic from https://unu.edu/article/corrupt-cities-and-post-pandemic-ethical-antidotes

Vote NO on G!

Keep corruption out of Sunnyvale 


2. Design-Bid-Build (current = lowest cost) vs. Design-Build (Measure “G”)

The most basic problem with “design-build”, is that the designer has every reason to increase the cost of the “design” since they will be doing the “build” as well.  As some of the following examples show, this often comes about after the contract is awarded as changes are recommended by the designer (who is also the builder).

City council members are no more familiar with large construction processes than the average voter so will go along with the suggested changes and the cost increases they generate, not out of corruption, but because they generally have no experience in construction projects.

3.  Other Problems with Design-Build

Loss of Independent Oversight & Quality Control Check Points

CA state auditors specifically pointed out that:

1. In the traditional design-bid-build (that Sunnyvale currently uses), the architectural/engineering firm acts as an independent advocate for the contracting agency (Sunnyvale, in our case), actively overseeing the contractor's work to ensure adherence to quality standards and design specifications.

2. In (Measure G's proposed) design-build, because the designer and builder work for the same entity (or are the same firm), the internal checks and balances are removed. The owner loses an independent advocate on site to call out subpar construction or substituted materials.



4. Examples of Design-Build cost overruns and corrupt influences:

(A) California High Speed Rail design-build change orders produced huge additional costs.

In an enormous “design-build” fiasco, the State Auditor found that the High Speed Rail Authority had approved more than $600 million in change orders on three Central Valley construction contracts. The original contracts totaled approximately $2.5 Billion, and change orders added $600 Million, while also contributing to an 11-month schedule extension.  In addition, the HSR Authority estimated that it would need an additional $1.6 Billion in contract changes resulting in a $2.2 Billion increase over the initial $2.5 Billion estimate for an 88% increase in costs.

Because contractors were awarded fixed-price/design-build packages on incomplete groundwork, the Authority faced thousands of change orders.

Costs for initial contract segments Doubled, leading state audit reports and legislative oversight panels to heavily criticize the premature use of design-build.

The “oversight committee” didn't fix these problems. The State Auditor found that in four of 11 change orders it examined, the Authority either:

i) approved more money than its independent oversight firm recommended, or

ii) approved additional money for work the oversight firm initially believed was already covered by the contract.

In one example, the contractor sought more than $21 million for unanticipated bridge work; the independent oversight firm estimated $7.4 million, while the Authority ultimately approved $18.6 million. The Auditor said the Authority couldn't provide documentation explaining how it arrived at the higher figure.

(B) The Belmont Learning Center Scandal (Los Angeles, CA)

Context: In the late 1990s, the Los Angeles Unified School District (LAUSD) used a design-build approach to fast-track the construction of a massive high school complex atop a former oil field.

Cost Overruns & Subjective Evaluation:  The project’s cost ballooned from $150 million to over $300 million, making it one of the most expensive high schools in U.S. history at the time.  Over 100% increase in costs!!

Corruption & Legal Investigations: A formal investigation by the Los Angeles District Attorney’s Office highlighted that the "best value" subjective evaluation inherent to design-build created an environment prone to favoritism and a breakdown in public trust. The District Attorney's report explicitly warned that design-build lacks the safeguards of traditional competitive low-bid systems, opening the door to public suspicion, conflicts of interest, and fiscal mismanagement.  A 671-page internal audit conducted by LAUSD Inspector General Don Mullinax in late 1999 uncovered evidence of millions of dollars in fraudulent billing. The report noted "probable cause" that certain acts or omissions violated criminal laws.

(C) Maryland Purple Line Light Rail (Maryland)

Context: A major $5.6 billion public-private design-build project intended to build a 16-mile light-rail line connecting Montgomery and Prince George’s counties.

The original design-build contractor walked off the job due to over $800 million in cost overruns and delays, leading to a multi-year settlement process.

By the time a replacement contractor was hired, overall project costs increased by over $1.4 billion, demonstrating that design-build does not always insulate taxpayers from huge cost increases.  A $5.6 Billion project became a $7 Billion project - a 25% cost increase.

(D) San Francisco Department of Public Works in 2022

As a classic case of what can go wrong if city officials are given too much power to decide who gets city contracts and approvals, consider the following:

Mohammed Nuru, ($278,586 annual salary) the former Director of the San Francisco Department of Public Works was sentenced to 7 years in federal prison after he pleaded guilty to a multi-year wire fraud and bribery scheme involving his use of his discretion in choosing contractors.

He extracted over $1 million in cash, perks, and favors from eager contractors seeking city work over twelve years. This helped finance his Stonyford ranch, covering mortgage costs via laundered payments, custom home construction, and property upgrades supplied directly by favored vendors. 

He had an affair with the SF mayor and gave her some of the bribery money he got.  And he got one city contractor to give him a $36,500 Rolex!  Once he was told he was being investigated he impeded the investigation for almost a week after he was charged, warning all his partners in crime about the investigation, despite being explicitly told not to.

U.S. Northern District Judge William Orrick said Nuru’s sentence reflected how severely Nuru’s crimes as a public official breached public trust.  

“...you made the city’s decision-making and competitive bidding a farce… By awarding [contractors] and favoring them in exchange for money, gifts, trips, a job for your son and construction for a home, a vacation home, ... During my time on the bench, I’ve sentenced people for really horrible things.... In many ways, what you’ve done is at least as reprehensible.”

There were over a dozen officials and corporate entities charged in the city scandals.

Nuru’s nickname of “Mr. Clean” for his department’s efforts to spit shine the city, proved to be the height of irony. 

“Mr. Clean”!!  You can’t make this stuff up!

All this and more in:

https://www.kqed.org/news/11923588/disgraced-former-sf-public-works-chief-mohammed-nuru-sentenced-to-7-years-for-bribery-scheme 

(E) Case of Los Angeles City Councilmember Jose Huizar

This 2023 sordid case with nearly a dozen individuals with convictions or guilty pleas involving well over a million dollars and a 13 year prison term for Huizar, shows that if councilmembers have the power to influence government decisions, it will attract those who can see the opportunity for abuse of that power and lead to abuse of their position.


City council members are there to set policy, NOT to be involved in the allocation of contracts and approvals.

No On G!

Let's keep Sunnyvale from becoming a cesspool like LA and San Francisco 


Monday, August 10, 2026

2026 - Against Sunnyvale Measure G

Hi There, all you eager young voters!

Thanks for coming to learn more about Prop G!

- We start with why we think “G” is a bad idea.

- Then we give examples, government audits, and criminal cases showing where “design-build” and other procurement processes that would be allowed by “G” allow for corruption.

1.  Allow A City Councilmember To Decide Who Wins Big City Projects?!

Currently, Sunnyvale requires new projects to go to the lowest bidder - period - end of story.  No council member or group of council members can influence that decision.  As the Sunnyvale City Attorney writes “This competitive bidding process is based on the bid price alone and does not permit the City to consider … other factors”.  (Note that City Attorneys work for and receive their performance evaluation from the same 7 city council members who voted for Proposition G.)

“G” would change that!  Prop G would allow “other factors” to decide the awarding of contracts.  This is soooo... simple - if the contract isn’t going to the lowest bidder, then it’s costing taxpayers more than it has to.   

If "G" passes then it’s only a matter of when the corruption sets in - and you won’t read about it - it will show up quietly in poor maintenance for parks, greater fees for garbage service, water rates, higher property taxes - all because new city contracts are going to the best-connected bidder, not the most cost-effective. 


 

If the city council and staff can decide on what “other factors” can be considered, they can be influenced by a bidder to decide on a factor favoring them.  This isn’t a hypothetical issue - it is the source of a lot of corruption which we will discuss later.  IF IT CAN HAPPEN - IT WILL HAPPEN!  

Corruption isn't something that only happens in 3rd world countries.  According to the Harvard University Center for Ethics, California is in the worst tier of corruption ("Very Common") overall with a score of 19 (higher is worse), with only 4 states worse (!!) and not by much (19.5 - 22.5).  For comparison - Oregon = 8, Massachusetts = 6, New Jersey = 20.5, Illinois = 21 - see map below.  California is tied for corruption with Mississippi, Georgia, and Pennsylvania!


Map from:
 https://www.illinoispolicy.org/reports/corruption-costs-illinois-taxpayers-at-least-550m-per-year

Corruption is very real in the majority of cities at one level or another.  A UN study of 134 cities around the world found over half the people in them had experienced corrupt practices at one level or another as seen in the graphic below - nearly 60% had to give bribes to get a service, nearly 30% almost daily or monthly.  84% cited corrupt local elected politicians, 82% cited local government officials - in both cases about a third saw this either "almost daily", or several times a month.


Graphic from https://unu.edu/article/corrupt-cities-and-post-pandemic-ethical-antidotes

Vote NO on G! Keep corruption out of Sunnyvale 

2. Design-Bid-Build (current - low cost) vs. Design-Build (Measure “G”)

The most basic problem with “design-build”, is that the designer has every reason to increase the cost of the “design” since they will be doing the “build” as well.  As some of the following examples show, this often comes about after the contract is awarded as changes are recommended by the designer (who is also the builder).

City council members are no more familiar with large construction processes than the average voter so will go along with the suggested changes and the cost increases they generate.  I saw this first hand when I was myself a city councilmember and the new city hall was being designed.  I argued first for a simple (and very low cost) add-on to increase office space.  After the city council went with a complete tear-down and totally new building I served on the review committee with the designers.  I resigned after a few months because it had turned into a charade.  Whatever the designers suggested was approved without any serious questions.

3.  Other Problems with Design-Build

Loss of Independent Oversight & Quality Control Check Points

CA state auditors specifically pointed out that:

1. In the traditional design-bid-build that Sunnyvale currently uses, the architectural/engineering firm acts as an independent advocate for the contracting agency (Sunnyvale, in our case), actively overseeing the contractor's work to ensure adherence to quality standards and design specifications.

2. In (Measure G's proposed) design-build, because the designer and builder work for the same entity (or are the same firm), the internal checks and balances are removed. The owner loses an independent advocate on site to call out subpar construction or substituted materials.



4. Examples of Design-Build cost overruns and corrupt influences:

(A) California High Speed Rail design-build change orders produced huge additional costs.

In an enormous “design-build” fiasco, the State Auditor found that the High Speed Rail Authority had approved more than $600 million in change orders on three Central Valley construction contracts. The original contracts totaled approximately $2.5 Billion, and change orders added $600 Million to approximately $3.1 billion, while also contributing to an 11-month schedule extension.  In addition, the HSR Authority estimated that it would need an additional $1.6 Billion in contract changes resulting in a $2.2 Billion increase over the initial $2.5 Billion estimate for an 88% increase in costs.

Contracts were awarded via design-build before rights-of-way, land acquisition, and utility relocations were fully finalized or secured.

Because contractors were awarded fixed-price/design-build packages on incomplete groundwork, the Authority faced thousands of change orders.

Costs for initial contract segments doubled, leading state audit reports and legislative oversight panels to heavily criticize the premature use of design-build.

The “oversight committee” didn't fix these problems. The State Auditor found that in four of 11 change orders it examined, the Authority either:

i) approved more money than its independent oversight firm recommended, or

ii) approved work the oversight firm initially believed was already covered by the contract.

In one example, the contractor sought more than $21 million for unanticipated bridge work; the independent oversight firm estimated $7.4 million, while the Authority ultimately approved $18.6 million. The Auditor said the Authority couldn't provide documentation explaining how it arrived at the higher figure.

(B) The Belmont Learning Center Scandal (Los Angeles, CA)

The Context: In the late 1990s, the Los Angeles Unified School District (LAUSD) used a design-build approach to fast-track the construction of a massive high school complex atop a former oil field.

Cost Overruns & Subjective Evaluation:

The project’s cost ballooned from $150 million to over $300 million, making it one of the most expensive high schools in U.S. history at the time.  Over 100% increase in costs!!

Corruption & Legal Investigations: A formal investigation by the Los Angeles District Attorney’s Office highlighted that the "best value" subjective evaluation inherent to design-build created an environment prone to favoritism and a breakdown in public trust. The District Attorney's report explicitly warned that design-build lacks the safeguards of traditional competitive low-bid systems, opening the door to public suspicion, conflicts of interest, and fiscal mismanagement.  A 671-page internal audit conducted by LAUSD Inspector General Don Mullinax in late 1999 uncovered evidence of millions of dollars in fraudulent billing. The report noted "probable cause" that certain acts or omissions violated criminal laws.

(C) Maryland Purple Line Light Rail (Maryland)

Context: A major $5.6 billion public-private design-build project intended to build a 16-mile light-rail line connecting Montgomery and Prince George’s counties.

The original design-build contractor walked off the job due to over $800 million in cost overruns and delays, leading to a multi-year settlement process.

By the time a replacement contractor was hired, overall project costs increased by over $1.4 billion, demonstrating that design-build does not always insulate taxpayers from huge cost increases.  A $5.6 Billion project became a $7 Billion project - a 25% cost increase.

(D) San Francisco Department of Public Works in 2022

As a classic case of what can go wrong if city officials are given too much power to decide who gets city contracts and approvals, consider the following:

Mohammed Nuru, ($278,586 annual salary) the former Director of the San Francisco Department of Public Works was sentenced to 7 years in federal prison after Nuru pleaded guilty to a multi-year wire fraud and bribery scheme involving his use of his discretion in choosing contractors.

He extracted over $1 million in cash, perks, and favors from eager contractors seeking city work over twelve years. This helped finance his Stonyford ranch, covering mortgage costs via laundered payments, custom home construction, and property upgrades supplied directly by favored vendors. 

He had an affair with the SF mayor and gave her some of the bribery money he got.  And he got one city contractor to give him a $36,500 Rolex!  Once he was told he was being investigated he impeded the investigation for almost a week after he was charged, warning all his partners in crime about the investigation, despite being explicitly told not to.

U.S. Northern District Judge William Orrick said Nuru’s sentence reflected how severely Nuru’s crimes as a public official breached public trust.  

“...you made the city’s decision-making and competitive bidding a farce… By awarding [contractors] and favoring them in exchange for money, gifts, trips, a job for your son and construction for a home, a vacation home, ... During my time on the bench, I’ve sentenced people for really horrible things.... In many ways, what you’ve done is at least as reprehensible.”

There were over a dozen officials and corporate entities charged in the city scandals.

Nuru’s nickname of “Mr. Clean” for his department’s efforts to spit shine the city, proved to be the height of irony. 

“Mr. Clean”!!  You can’t make this stuff up!

All this and more in:

https://www.kqed.org/news/11923588/disgraced-former-sf-public-works-chief-mohammed-nuru-sentenced-to-7-years-for-bribery-scheme 

https://www.cbsnews.com/sanfrancisco/news/mohammed-nuru-sentenced-prison-san-francisco-public-works-corruption-scandal


Wednesday, August 14, 2024

Argument against Sunnyvale''s Proposed New Library

 Does Sunnyvale Need a New Main Library?



Sunnyvale’s lovely main library has been serving the community since 1961, through over 60 years of family use, weather and earthquakes.

Summary


Sunnyvale (California’s 37th largest city) proposes a $290,000,000 bond (Measure E) to tear down the existing library and build a 120,000 sq. ft. new one, double the 60,000 sq. ft. of the current main library, making it the 7th largest library in the state. The 25 year bond at 4% will add $169M so total cost will be $459M.

(Ref: https://ca.countingopinions.com/pireports/report.php?e1af9d8fefa2ef3389ff88b2c9cdd028&live )


For an amazingly good AI-generated podcast summarizing this blog done by Google's NotebookLM, click on this link:

https://notebooklm.google.com/notebook/19a06bfb-24f5-48bc-b9cf-72744e062687/audio )


I love libraries. After I was elected to Sunnyvale's city council I was happy to vote for the new 20,000 sq. ft. branch library in north Sunnyvale which just recently broke ground (no new taxes required). I would support a new branch library, especially one for children like Palo Alto's (link opens in new tab).


Interior of Palo Alto Children's Library
https://library.cityofpaloalto.org/locations/C/
But for the following reasons I must oppose the new library bond proposal - Measure E.

Library usage and circulation in Sunnyvale, Santa Clara, and around the country is down a lot as you can see in the charts below - 50% drop in patronage nationwide! LA down 74%, San Francisco down 65%, etc. Sunnyvale down 62%! Go to Sunnyvale's library even on weekends, and it has lots of empty desks and chairs. When the new Sunnyvale branch library opens, the main Sunnyvale library will see even lower patronage. So why build a new one?
US library patronage (blue lines) is down 50%.  Physical circulation is down almost as much.  Yet eBooks (gray lines) are soaring. (click on image to expand)
Source: https://www.publishersweekly.com/pw/by-topic/industry-news/libraries/article/95383-the-quiet-crisis-facing-u-s-public-libraries.html

Sunnyvale peak usage was about 900,000 in 2008/2009.  Current usage is 38% of that peak at 337,831

The proposed cost of over $2400/sq. ft. is well over double the cost of new libraries being built around California. That includes Sunnyvale's own new branch library which just recently broke ground at barely above $1000/sq. ft. New libraries in CA now (2024) are generally around $1000 to $1200 per sq. ft. (see "Cost Comparison" below). Even at $1200/sq. ft., adding on 60,000 sq. ft. by an addition would cost "only" $72M, saving $218M - we could do a lot with that for public safety, parks, schools, and helping those in need. The most expensive place for construction of offices (and libraries) is $1270/sf in NYC. (see https://www.clarisdesignbuild.com/2024-update-commercial-construction-cost-per-square-foot-in-the-us/). 


As much as I love libraries, bigger is not necessarily better. All data on usage shows that easy access is absolutely the most important factor. For example, Fresno (population 520,000) has an 82,700 sq. ft. main library yet a branch library of only 22,000 sq. ft. has nearly double the circulation at only about 1/4th the size.

Fresno's Woodside Branch Library 22,000 Sq. Ft.
But nearly 2X the circulation of the 83,000 sf main library
(click image to enlarge)

Even smaller, at only 10,000 sf, Fresno's Fig Garden Branch had a circulation over 20% greater than the 8X larger main library. It is a rented commercial space in a strip mall - small, but kids and parents with strollers can walk to it, and it has easy parking for families. Access is key. More on these libraries here: David and Goliath (link opens in another tab).


To increase library usage, especially by kids and families, more branch libraries they can walk to is the answer, not gigantic monuments.


At the time of the first library bond proposal in 2007 (more at "History", below), local libraries were absolutely packed, even on week nights. It is dramatically different now. The change at the Sunnyvale and Santa Clara libraries is obvious. In room after room with seating for 28 or more, there are only 4 to 6 people. A desk that seats six has only one person, if that. Even on weekends, there is no shortage of seating - or parking.


If Sunnyvale wants to enhance library usage, the best way would be branch libraries in underserved areas (see "Alternatives", below), possibly sharing the cost and space of the nice libraries in the middle schools and high schools. Some cities do this with city librarians taking over after school ends and on weekends. A win-win for cities and schools!


Campaign Contributions


It is no accident that the biggest contributors to the "Committee to Support City of Sunnyvale Library Bond Measure" are architects in San Jose and San Francisco, and contractors to the city. In a weird little operation, the N. CA Carpenters PAC recently gave $5,500 to Charlsie Chang's campaign. She has no opposition so why does she need contributions? Anyway, as of this writing she has so far given $2,000 to the Support Sunnyvale Library Bond Measure campaign. C.f., City of Sunnyvale Electronic Filing System (netfile.com)


Cost Comparison


$290M for 120,000 sq. ft. = $2,417/square foot. That is well over twice the cost of Sunnyvale's new branch library in the Lakewood district (still under construction) which cost $23,000,000 for a 22,000 square foot library - just over $1,000/sq. ft. as reported in the San Jose Mercury News: https://www.mercurynews.com/2024/06/07/new-library-comes-to-north-sunnyvale-replaces-old-community-pool/


In 2022, Santa Cruz priced a new 38,000 sq. ft. library at $1,118/sq. ft. as reported here: https://lookout.co/measure-o-new-library-vs-renovated-library-what-would-santa-cruz-get/


Riverside is building a 15,000 sf library for $20M = $1,333/sf as seen here: https://riversideca.gov/library/about-library/new-spc-jesus-s-duran-eastside-library-building-project


In Contra Costa County Bay Point's new library of 21,000 sf will cost $20M = $952/sf as reported here: https://contracostaherald.com/contra-costa-county-library-awarded-9-9m-grant-for-new-bay-point-library/


A library is similar to an office, and in 2024, office space construction costs are highest in New York City at $1,270 per square foot

(see https://www.clarisdesignbuild.com/2024-update-commercial-construction-cost-per-square-foot-in-the-us/). 


The big beneficiaries of this $290M bond will be big construction companies.


How Big Should a Library Be?


It's nice to know the size of libraries near Sunnyvale to get an idea of how big the proposed 120,000 sq. ft. library would be. Sunnyvale's main library is 60,800 sq. ft.

The proposed new library would be twice the size of the main libraries of Mountain View, Cupertino, Milpitas, and would be 50% bigger than Santa Clara's.

Here are the sizes of nearby libraries, all of which by state law give library cards to anyone - without charge.

Santa Clara: 80,000 sq. ft.
Mountain View: 60,000 sq. ft.
Cupertino: 59,600 sq. ft.
Milpitas: 60,000 sq. ft.
Fremont City: 68,500 sq. ft.

You can see most libraries find around 60,000 sq. ft. convenient.

There's a reason for that. What is most effective in making books and other materials available to people, especially kids, is easy access with branch libraries as discussed above.

If one library doesn't have the book or e-book you want, you can get it at another city library nearby, or the local one will get it for you from the county.


History


Back in 2007, Sunnyvale proposed replacing the main library with a brand new one, at $1,000/sf. Yet again, this was twice the cost of the average of other new libraries around the state at the time, including in the SF Bay Area. We showed then many examples of lovely new libraries built in CA around the same time for under $500/sf - half Sunnyvale's 2007 proposal of $1,000/sf. In the linked articles we show the lovely interior of Camarillo's Library (at less than half the cost of Sunnyvale's 2007 proposal) (LINK).

Exterior of Camarillo's Library
(click on photo to enlarge)

as well as the libraries of Alameda, Calabasas, etc. and others here.

Exterior of Calabasas' Library
(click on photo to enlarge)

Alternatives:

We could add a branch library like the new 20,000 sq. ft. library Sunnyvale is building in the Lakeview district. Many people in other areas are closer to nearby libraries like Cupertino's or Santa Clara's than to Sunnyvale's main library but a branch library near Sunnyvale Middle School or Peterson Middle School might be welcome.

Or we could modify the current library. Perhaps add a 2-story wing of 20,000 - 30,000 sq. ft. for a total of 80,000 (like Santa Clara's) or 90,000 (50% larger than the current library).


Sunnyvale's Public Library
from above


Sunnyvale City's website makes arguments about square feet of library space per resident, but that is a false argument because every library has a minimum requirement of entry way, help desk, hallways, etc. A city twice as large as another doesn't need twice as many entry ways, help desks, etc.


Even if we did want to increase the size of the main library, wouldn't it make more sense to simply add on to the existing library?


Destroying a perfectly good building instead of adding on is an environmentally destructive waste of money and material.  We recycle food waste and bottles but trash perfectly good buildings?  Adding rooms, amenities, solar panels and insulation to the existing building as we do to our homes is far better than trashing a fine old building.  The saved money could be far better spent helping the homeless, providing better roads, and public safety.


Sunnyvale residents can and do check out books, eBooks and media from all community libraries near home and work at no charge.  Is it worth $290,000,000 just to say “my library is bigger than your library” ?


Sunnyvale’s city council needs to pay less attention to what builders and construction unions want and more to what Sunnyvale really needs.


St. Gallen Abbey Library, Switzerland
Maybe cheaper than the over quarter $Billion Measure E?



Wednesday, August 18, 2021

Manhattan, NY Commute Flows

Manhattan, NYC


New York City is the city Americans think about when they compare city life with suburban or rural life.

And, when people advocate for high-density living, public transit, and against suburban "sprawl" they usually use NYC as their model, for better or worse.

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Manhattan Subway

And, when they think of NYC, they are usually thinking of Manhattan - one of the five boroughs that make up NYC.  The borough of Manhattan (New York County) is 24 square (land) miles of tall buildings that is the original New York City (the other four boroughs were added over time until 1898).

Those advocating for density often cite NYC (Manhattan really) as the model to be emulated.  Much of what they think about NYC isn't true, particularly commuting.  Lets look at the numbers.

Commute Flows

Summary:

Manhattan, with only 24 square miles of NYC's 305 sq. miles, is the job center for the NYC metro area.  With over 2.3 million jobs and only 734,000 resident workers, Manhattan has more than 4.5 jobs for every resident worker.  Nearly 80% (77.8%) of those who work in Manhattan commute in from other areas.

One would think that nearly all residents could find a job they like within an easy commute by walking, bus, or biking.    But, in fact, nearly 30% (29.7%) of those who live in Manhattan (one of the most expensive places in North America) commute out of it to work in places which are almost always cheaper to live in than Manhattan.

Looking at the changes over the 16 years from 2002 to 2018, we see an increase in commuters.  There is an increase in both the number and percentage of those who live in Manhattan commuting out.  Not only that, they are commuting from Manhattan further and further out.  It is a slow, steady increase.

Nonetheless, as of 2018, only 15% of Manhattan residents commute more than 10 miles from home, although that is slowly but steadily increasing.

Commute Flows:

From the US Census Tool "OnTheMap" we have the commute flows of Manhattan in the first image below.  This shows that 1.8M workers commuted into Manhattan, while 217,911 living in Manhattan commuted out, and 515,641 of those living in Manhattan worked there.

Figure 1 - Commute Flows 2018
(click to enlarge)

In Figure 2, below, we have the commute flows of Manhattan in 2002, 16 years earlier.  This shows that 1.4M workers commuted into Manhattan, while 146,013 living in Manhattan commuted out, and 436,580 of those living in Manhattan worked there.

Figure 2 - Commute Flows 2002
(click to enlarge)


Let us compare this with 2002 - 16 years earlier - and see what changed over time.

Below is the data from 2002.  Key points are that during those 16 years from 2002 to 2018, the number of jobs in Manhattan has increased by 512,404 (28.3%) while the number of those living in Manhattan increased by 150,959.  The number living in Manhattan and also working there increased only by 79,061 (18.1%).  Over the same period, the number of those living in Manhattan and commuting out increased by 71,898 (49.2%).  In other words nearly half of the increase in population of workers living in Manhattan during this period commuted out.  This resulted in an increase in the percentage of those living in Manhattan and commuting out from 25% to 30%.

Paradoxically, the addition of workers living in the job center resulted in a larger percentage commuting out of Manhattan - from 25% in 2002 to 30% in 2018.  We see this in figure 3 below:

Figure 3.  Commute flows - 2018 vs 2002
(click to enlarge)


Commute Distance and Direction:

In Figure 4 we see the changes from 2002 to 2018 in where and how far workers residing in Manhattan commute.  In that 16 year period, those commuting more than 10 miles to work increased by 40,000 - from 77,000 (12.1%of resident workers) to 107,000 (14.5% of residents), an increase of 39%.

Figure 4: Manhattan Residents
Commuting Distance & Direction
(click to enlarge)

In Figure 5, below, we see the changes from 2002 to 2018 in how far workers commuting into Manhattan travel.  In that 16 year period, those commuting more than 10 miles to work increased by 162,000 - from 698,000 (39%of non-resident workers) to 860,000 (37% of non-residents).  The percentage decreased but the sheer number increased.

Figure 5: Manhattan Non-Residents
Commuting INTO Manhattan - Distance & Direction
(click to enlarge)

The places that people commuting out of Manhattan is also available from "OnTheMap" by distance range.  The 10-24 mile commute range is shown below.

Figure 6: 10-24 Mile Commutes of Manhattan Residents
Shown in Purple
(click to enlarge)

Remarkably, workers are commuting from the most expensive major county in the US to much cheaper suburban areas, usually considered "bedroom communities".

Congestion and Time Lost to Commuting

The result of this density and concentration of jobs and housing has been some of the worst congestion in the world.

Those arguing that high density results in less commuting need to deal with the reality that the densest county in the US has seen a significant increase both in the number of commuters, and in their miles traveled to work.

The reality is that nearly 4 out of 5 of those who work in Manhattan commute from outside - often the suburbs or one of the more suburban parts of NYC such as Staten Island.  New York commutes take the longest time in the US.

Figure 7 - Commute Time
(click to enlarge)


Fortunately, NYC has an excellent (and expensive) public transit system.  Still congestion is worse than almost all other cities in the entire world.  The following chart from the Economist shows that in time lost to congestion, NYC is second only to LA, and tied with Moscow.  In terms of cost of congestion per driver, NYC is the absolute worst in the world.

Figure 8 - Commute Time Lost to Congestion

Conclusion:

Increased density does not result in better commuting.  It simply concentrates the congestion, and distributes the concomitant pollution to the suburbs.